Primera LPFMatchday 13
Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%49%O2.542%44%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Argentinos Jrs3:2BanfieldL
- Argentinos Jrs3:0BanfieldL
- Banfield1:2Argentinos JrsL
- Argentinos Jrs1:0BanfieldL
- Banfield1:0Argentinos JrsW
Banfield's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.4total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.4
Banfield : Argentinos JrsMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-112%0-010%1-0—0-29%1-29%Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-09%1-09%0-28%1-29%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-111%0-00-010%0-09%1-01-0—1-09%0-20-29%0-28%1-21-29%1-29%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%77% | 77% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 54%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%49% | 49% |
| 2 – Argentinos Jrs win | 46%42% · Elo 44% | 42%· Elo 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| 1 – Banfield win | 25%31% · Elo 26% | 31%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Banfield attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1479defence1587−108 pts to the attack
Argentinos Jrs attack vs Banfield defenceattack1557defence1399+158 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.567%63%
7.554%52%
8.541%40%
9.529%30%
Each team on its own
Banfieldwe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Argentinos Jrswe expect 3.8, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 21.9 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.551%56%
22.543%50%
23.537%45%
24.531%37%
Each team on its own
Banfieldwe expect 11.5, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 58%
Argentinos Jrswe expect 10.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%65%
3.551%41%
4.532%26%
5.518%14%
Each team on its own
Banfieldwe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Argentinos Jrswe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Banfield7 matches in a row with BTTSat home: 3Went on 56%League 47%Model 48%Record 12
- Argentinos Jrs6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals awayoverall: 1Went on 53%League 63%Model 58%Record 27
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Banfield matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Banfield: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Argentinos Jrs: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?
Argentinos Jrs are the favourites. Chances: Banfield win 25%, draw 29%, Argentinos Jrs win 46%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Banfield 1.0, Argentinos Jrs 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 42%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?
The chance that both teams score is 48%.
When is Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 17 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).