Primera LPFMatchday 16
Barracas Central vs Racing Club: prediction, tips and stats
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1.3:1.1Pre-match
- Referee:
- Dario Herrera
Our tips
Tip in 1d 21hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS45%49%O2.538%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Racing Club1:1Barracas CentralD
- Racing Club0:1Barracas CentralW
- Barracas Central1:3Racing ClubL
- Barracas Central0:2Racing ClubL
- Racing Club1:1Barracas CentralD
Barracas Central's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 35%.Referee
D. Herrera+0.4 yellow cards vs average29 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.9total 2.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Barracas Central : Racing ClubMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-012%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-011%0-00-012%0-09%0-10-19%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Barracas Central win | 45%40% · Elo 34% | 40%· Elo 34% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Racing Club win | 26%31% · Elo 35% | 31%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Barracas Central attack vs Racing Club defenceattack1482defence1503−21 pts to the attack
Racing Club attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1551defence1497+54 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%53%
8.552%40%
9.539%31%
10.528%22%
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 5.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Racing Clubwe expect 3.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 22.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.552%54%
22.545%49%
23.538%43%
24.532%35%
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 10.5, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Racing Clubwe expect 11.4, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Referee: 23.5 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)+0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.570%65%
3.549%39%
4.530%24%
5.517%14%
Each team on its own
Barracas Centralwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Racing Clubwe expect 2.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Barracas Central vs Racing Club?
Barracas Central are the favourites. Chances: Barracas Central win 45%, draw 29%, Racing Club win 26%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Barracas Central vs Racing Club?
Expected goals: 2.2 (Barracas Central 1.3, Racing Club 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Racing Club?
The chance that both teams score is 45%.
When is Barracas Central vs Racing Club?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 6 November 2026, 18:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Barracas Central vs Racing Club?
The referee is Dario Herrera. In 29 matches in our data they showed 5.3 yellow cards a match on average.