Primera LPFMatchday 13
Racing Club vs Independiente: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%49%O2.540%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Independiente1:0Racing ClubL
- Racing Club0:0IndependienteD
- Independiente1:1Racing ClubD
- Racing Club0:0IndependienteD
- Independiente1:1Racing ClubD
Racing Club's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.8over 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Racing Club : IndependienteMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-011%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-09%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Racing Club win | 46%45% · Elo 42% | 45%· Elo 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Independiente win | 25%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Racing Club attack vs Independiente defenceattack1556defence1528+28 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Racing Club defenceattack1524defence1504+20 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.570%63%
7.557%52%
8.544%40%
9.532%30%
Each team on its own
Racing Clubwe expect 4.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Independientewe expect 3.7, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 21.9 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.551%56%
22.544%50%
23.537%45%
24.531%37%
Each team on its own
Racing Clubwe expect 10.9, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
Independientewe expect 10.9, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%65%
3.554%41%
4.535%26%
5.520%14%
Each team on its own
Racing Clubwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Independientewe expect 2.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 68%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Independiente matches average 11.2 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Racing Club: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Racing Club: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Independiente: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing ClubClausura, Group B | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:19 | 11 |
| 7 | IndependienteClausura, Group A | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Racing Club vs Independiente?
Racing Club are the favourites. Chances: Racing Club win 46%, draw 29%, Independiente win 25%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Racing Club vs Independiente?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Racing Club 1.4, Independiente 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 40%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Independiente?
The chance that both teams score is 46%.
When is Racing Club vs Independiente?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 18 October 2026, 18:45 (UK time).