Primera LPFMatchday 16
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and stats
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1.3:1.2Pre-match
- Referee:
- Facundo Tello
Our tips
Tip in 18h 15mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS48%51%O2.541%46%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2H2Hlast meeting
- Ind. Rivadavia5:1Gimnasia MendozaL
Gimnasia Mendoza's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss6.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.Referee
F. Tello+0.2 yellow cards vs average18 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.3total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Gimnasia Mendoza : Ind. RivadaviaMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-112%0-011%1-09%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%0-09%1-010%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-19%0-00-011%0-09%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%62% | 62% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 59%66% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Ind. Rivadavia win | 41%34% · Elo 39% | 34%· Elo 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| 1 – Gimnasia Mendoza win | 29%39% · Elo 30% | 39%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1441defence1461−20 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1554defence1458+96 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%53%
8.550%40%
9.537%31%
10.526%22%
Each team on its own
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 4.3, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 21.4 in this match, 22.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.547%54%
22.540%49%
23.533%43%
24.527%35%
Each team on its own
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 10.1, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 11.1, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Referee: 23.3 fouls per match on average (23 matches in our data)+0.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 77%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 23%over
We expect 5.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.589%65%
3.577%39%
4.561%24%
5.544%14%
Each team on its own
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 1.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Ind. Rivadaviawe expect 4.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 92%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gimnasia Mendoza concede a lot late on: 11 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
- Gimnasia Mendoza: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Ind. Rivadavia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Gimnasia MendozaClausura, Group A | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Ind. RivadaviaClausura, Group B | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:23 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gimnasia Mendoza vs Ind. Rivadavia?
Ind. Rivadavia are the favourites. Chances: Gimnasia Mendoza win 29%, draw 30%, Ind. Rivadavia win 41%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Ind. Rivadavia?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.0, Ind. Rivadavia 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Ind. Rivadavia?
The chance that both teams score is 48%.
When is Gimnasia Mendoza vs Ind. Rivadavia?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 7 November 2026, 18:00 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Ind. Rivadavia?
The referee is Facundo Tello. In 18 matches in our data they showed 5.1 yellow cards a match on average.