Primera LPFMatchday 14
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%46%O2.536%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast meeting
- Platense1:1Gimnasia MendozaD
Gimnasia Mendoza's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.0total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Gimnasia Mendoza : PlatenseMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%1-012%0-111%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-011%1-013%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-011%1-01-012%1-013%0-10-111%0-110%2-02-08%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 67%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%66% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%61% | 61% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Gimnasia Mendoza win | 37%42% · Elo 44% | 42%· Elo 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%34% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 32%29% · Elo 30% | 29%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Platense win | 30%29% · Elo 26% | 29%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Platense defenceattack1448defence1477−29 pts to the attack
Platense attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1460defence1459+1 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.570%63%
7.556%52%
8.543%40%
9.531%30%
Each team on its own
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 4.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Platensewe expect 3.8, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 23.3 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.560%56%
22.553%50%
23.546%45%
24.540%37%
Each team on its own
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 11.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Platensewe expect 11.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%65%
3.557%41%
4.538%26%
5.522%14%
Each team on its own
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Platensewe expect 2.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 75%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gimnasia Mendoza: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
- Gimnasia Mendoza: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Platense: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Gimnasia Mendoza win 37%, draw 32%, Platense win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?
Expected goals: 2.1 (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.1, Platense 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 36%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?
The chance that both teams score is 44%.
When is Gimnasia Mendoza vs Platense?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 23 October 2026, 22:30 (UK time).