Primera LPFMatchday 13
Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 5d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%47%O2.538%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Central Cordoba1:3Newells Old BoysW
- Newells Old Boys1:1Central CordobaD
- Central Cordoba2:0Newells Old BoysL
- Newells Old Boys2:3Central CordobaL
- Central Cordoba2:0Newells Old BoysL
Newells Old Boys's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.9total 2.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Newells Old Boys : Central CordobaMost likely scores
Market1-014%1-114%0-012%2-010%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-010%2-09%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-012%0-010%2-02-010%2-09%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Newells Old Boys win | 47%45% · Elo 42% | 45%· Elo 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| 2 – Central Cordoba win | 23%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Newells Old Boys attack vs Central Cordoba defenceattack1440defence1430+10 pts to the attack
Central Cordoba attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1464defence1469−5 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.563%63%
7.549%52%
8.536%40%
9.525%30%
Each team on its own
Newells Old Boyswe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Central Cordobawe expect 3.2, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 23.0 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.558%56%
22.552%50%
23.545%45%
24.538%37%
Each team on its own
Newells Old Boyswe expect 11.2, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Central Cordobawe expect 11.8, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%65%
3.556%41%
4.537%26%
5.522%14%
Each team on its own
Newells Old Boyswe expect 2.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 63%
Central Cordobawe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Newells Old Boys6 matches in a row under 2.5 goalsat home: 2Went on 56%League 63%Model 62%Record 27
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Central Cordoba: no win in 8 matches
- Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Newells Old Boys: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Central Cordoba: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba?
Newells Old Boys are the favourites. Chances: Newells Old Boys win 47%, draw 30%, Central Cordoba win 23%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba?
Expected goals: 2.2 (Newells Old Boys 1.3, Central Cordoba 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 38%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 19 October 2026, 23:00 (UK time).