Primera LPFMatchday 14
Rosario Central vs Huracan: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 10d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%41%O2.534%37%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Huracan3:1Rosario CentralL
- Rosario Central0:1HuracanL
- Rosario Central0:1HuracanL
- Huracan0:2Rosario CentralW
- Huracan2:0Rosario CentralL
Rosario Central's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 8.8over 8.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.7total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 0.8total 2.2
Rosario Central : HuracanMost likely scores
Market1-016%0-013%1-113%2-011%0-1—2-18%Attack/defence1-015%0-012%1-113%2-011%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-015%0-00-013%0-012%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-011%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-18%2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%83% | 83% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%63% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: no | 61%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Rosario Central win | 51%50% · Elo 55% | 50%· Elo 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%36% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Huracan win | 20%21% · Elo 19% | 21%· Elo 19% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Rosario Central attack vs Huracan defenceattack1574defence1560+14 pts to the attack
Huracan attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1451defence1579−128 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.570%63%
7.557%52%
8.543%40%
9.531%30%
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 5.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Huracanwe expect 3.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 22.7 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.556%56%
22.549%50%
23.542%45%
24.536%37%
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 10.5, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Huracanwe expect 12.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%65%
3.538%41%
4.521%26%
5.510%14%
Each team on its own
Rosario Centralwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Huracanwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Huracan: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Rosario Central matches average 11.8 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Rosario Central: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Huracan: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rosario Central vs Huracan?
Rosario Central are the favourites. Chances: Rosario Central win 51%, draw 29%, Huracan win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Huracan?
Expected goals: 2.0 (Rosario Central 1.3, Huracan 0.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 34%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Huracan?
The chance that both teams score is 39%.
When is Rosario Central vs Huracan?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 25 October 2026, 01:30 (UK time).