Primera LPFMatchday 13
Atl. Tucuman vs Rosario Central: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%47%O2.536%41%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rosario Central2:1Atl. TucumanL
- Atl. Tucuman0:0Rosario CentralD
- Rosario Central3:1Atl. TucumanL
- Rosario Central1:0Atl. TucumanL
- Atl. Tucuman2:2Rosario CentralD
Atl. Tucuman's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 8.8over 8.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.2total 2.1Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.3
Atl. Tucuman : Rosario CentralMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-113%0-013%1-010%0-28%1-2—2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-112%0-010%1-011%0-2—1-28%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-113%0-112%0-00-013%0-010%1-01-010%1-011%0-20-28%0-2—1-21-2—1-28%2-12-1—2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%67% | 67% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%59% | 59% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Rosario Central win | 41%38% · Elo 49% | 38%· Elo 49% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 32%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| 1 – Atl. Tucuman win | 28%33% · Elo 22% | 33%· Elo 22% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Atl. Tucuman attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1476defence1579−103 pts to the attack
Rosario Central attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1574defence1468+106 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.568%63%
7.555%52%
8.542%40%
9.530%30%
Each team on its own
Atl. Tucumanwe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Rosario Centralwe expect 4.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 20.5 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.541%56%
22.534%50%
23.528%45%
24.522%37%
Each team on its own
Atl. Tucumanwe expect 10.6, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Rosario Centralwe expect 9.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 27%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%65%
3.544%41%
4.526%26%
5.513%14%
Each team on its own
Atl. Tucumanwe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 60%
Rosario Centralwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rosario Central matches average 11.8 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Atl. Tucuman score a lot late on: 7 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Atl. Tucuman: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Rosario Central: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:10 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atl. Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Atl. Tucuman win 28%, draw 32%, Rosario Central win 41%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Atl. Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
Expected goals: 2.1 (Atl. Tucuman 0.9, Rosario Central 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 36%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Atl. Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Atl. Tucuman vs Rosario Central?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).