Primera LPFMatchday 16
San Lorenzo vs Platense: prediction, tips and stats
·
1.2:0.9Pre-match
- Referee:
- Felipe Viola
Our tips
Tip in 1d 21hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS41%41%O2.533%34%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.9H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Platense0:1San LorenzoW
- Platense2:1San LorenzoL
- San Lorenzo0:1PlatenseL
- San Lorenzo2:1PlatenseW
- Platense1:2San LorenzoW
San Lorenzo's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.5league 9.2under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league
4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.Referee
F. Viola−0.8 yellow cards vs average10 matchesPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.0total 2.1Attack/defence1.2 : 0.9total 2.1
San Lorenzo : PlatenseMost likely scores
Market1-115%1-013%0-014%0-112%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-015%0-013%0-111%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-115%1-114%1-01-013%1-015%0-00-014%0-013%0-10-112%0-111%2-02-08%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 86%85% | 85% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%69% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%57% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: no | 59%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39%39% | 39% |
| 1 – San Lorenzo win | 37%43% · Elo 42% | 43%· Elo 42% |
| X – draw | 33%31% · Elo 31% | 31%· Elo 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Platense win | 31%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Platense defenceattack1412defence1488−76 pts to the attack
Platense attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1467defence1550−83 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%53%
8.542%40%
9.530%31%
10.520%22%
Each team on its own
San Lorenzowe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Platensewe expect 3.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 21.8 in this match, 22.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.550%54%
22.543%49%
23.537%43%
24.530%35%
Each team on its own
San Lorenzowe expect 11.2, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Platensewe expect 11.4, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Referee: 21.3 fouls per match on average (7 matches in our data)−2.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.566%65%
3.544%39%
4.526%24%
5.513%14%
Each team on its own
San Lorenzowe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Platensewe expect 2.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 63%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- San Lorenzo7 matches in a row without BTTS at homeWent on 50%League 52%Model 59%Record 16
- San Lorenzo7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals at homeWent on 54%League 62%Model 67%Record 27
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Lorenzo score only 0.7 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- San Lorenzo: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Platense: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: San Lorenzo win 37%, draw 33%, Platense win 31%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
Expected goals: 2.1 (San Lorenzo 1.1, Platense 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 33%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
The chance that both teams score is 41%.
When is San Lorenzo vs Platense?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 6 November 2026, 22:15 (UK time).
Who is the referee for San Lorenzo vs Platense?
The referee is Felipe Viola. In 10 matches in our data they showed 4.6 yellow cards a match on average.