Primera LPFMatchday 14
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 20hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%39%O2.529%33%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Newells Old Boys0:0San LorenzoD
- San Lorenzo1:1Newells Old BoysD
- Newells Old Boys1:0San LorenzoL
- Newells Old Boys0:0San LorenzoD
- San Lorenzo3:2Newells Old BoysW
San Lorenzo's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 0.9total 1.9Attack/defence1.2 : 0.8total 2.0
San Lorenzo : Newells Old BoysMost likely scores
Market0-017%1-015%1-114%0-112%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence0-014%1-016%1-113%0-111%2-010%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-017%0-014%1-01-015%1-016%1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-111%2-02-08%2-010%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 88%85% | 85% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 71%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 67%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 62%61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57%60% | 60% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 43%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38%39% | 39% |
| 1 – San Lorenzo win | 37%45% · Elo 42% | 45%· Elo 42% |
| X – draw | 33%31% · Elo 31% | 31%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Newells Old Boys win | 30%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29%33% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1407defence1469−62 pts to the attack
Newells Old Boys attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1440defence1549−109 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.563%63%
7.550%52%
8.536%40%
9.525%30%
Each team on its own
San Lorenzowe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Newells Old Boyswe expect 3.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.563%56%
22.556%50%
23.550%45%
24.543%37%
Each team on its own
San Lorenzowe expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Newells Old Boyswe expect 13.3, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 65%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%65%
3.555%41%
4.536%26%
5.521%14%
Each team on its own
San Lorenzowe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Newells Old Boyswe expect 2.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 70%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Lorenzo: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- San Lorenzo score only 0.4 goals per game
- Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- San Lorenzo: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Newells Old Boys: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5:11 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: San Lorenzo win 37%, draw 33%, Newells Old Boys win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
Expected goals: 1.9 (San Lorenzo 1.0, Newells Old Boys 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 29%. Most likely score: 0-0.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
The chance that both teams score is 38%.
When is San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
The Primera LPF match kicks off 24 October 2026, 23:15 (UK time).