Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 28

Flamengo RJ 2-1 Bragantino: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Flamengo RJWon72%

Flamengo RJ: won 7 of their last 10 league matches; 4 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

    our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Won9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFlamengo RJ194272%73%Draw17%17%Bragantino168111%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.563%59%|exp. goals 2.2 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bragantino3:0Flamengo RJL
  2. Flamengo RJ3:0BragantinoW
  3. Bragantino1:2Flamengo RJW
  4. Flamengo RJ2:1BragantinoW
  5. Bragantino1:1Flamengo RJD
Flamengo RJ's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.9under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Jose Pereira de Lima−0.8 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.8total 3.2Attack/defence2.2 : 0.9total 3.1
Flamengo RJ : Bragantino
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-09%2-19%1-18%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-010%2-110%1-19%3-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-19%3-03-09%3-08%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat89%86%86%
Over 1.5 goals84%81%81%
12 – no draw83%81%81%
Our tip: 1 – Flamengo RJ win72%67% · Elo 73%67%· Elo 73%
Over 2.5 goals63%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals60%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes52%52%52%
Both teams to score: no48%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals40%37%37%
Under 2.5 goals37%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat28%33%33%
X – draw17%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals16%19%19%
2 – Bragantino win11%14% · Elo 10%14%· Elo 10%
Attack vs defence
Flamengo RJ attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1676defence1503+173 pts to the attack
Bragantino attack vs Flamengo RJ defenceattack1497defence1623−126 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Flamengo RJ matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Flamengo RJ concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Flamengo RJ: 4 wins in a row
  • Flamengo RJ concede a lot late on: 7 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Flamengo RJ: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Bragantino: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Flamengo RJ30197458:2564
9Bragantino301171238:3540
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Flamengo RJ vs Bragantino?

Flamengo RJ 2-1 Bragantino (half time 1-0).

Did the Flamengo RJ vs Bragantino tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Flamengo RJ. The tip won.