Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 29
Internacional 2-1 Corinthians: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre
- Referee:
- Felipe Fernandes de Lima
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost67%
our numbers: 2.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
Other tips
- Corners: Under 10.5Lost59%
8.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.6 in the visitors', league average 10.3
- Yellow Cards: Over 4.5Won55%
5.5 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 5.5 in the visitors', league average 4.7
- Offsides: Over 3.5Won58%
our numbers: 4.1 offsides against a league average of 3.0; 4.5 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 3.0
- Shots on Target – Internacional: Under 5.5Lost70%
Internacional: 3.4 shots on target a match, Corinthians's opponents had 3.9 on average, league average 5.2; our numbers for Internacional: 4.5 shots on target against a league average of 5.2
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost39%
our numbers: 2.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%48%O2.534%43%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Corinthians0:1InternacionalW
- Internacional1:1CorinthiansD
- Corinthians4:2InternacionalL
- Corinthians2:2InternacionalD
- Internacional1:0CorinthiansW
Internacional's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.3under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.0league 4.7over 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 9
RefereeF. Fernandes de Lima+0.2 yellow cards vs average15 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)76%O1.51:0coverageleague 86% · H2H 5/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.9total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Internacional : CorinthiansMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%1-013%0-111%2-1—2-08%Attack/defence1-113%0-010%1-012%0-19%2-19%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-010%1-01-013%1-012%0-10-111%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%2-02-08%2-09%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 67%72% | 72% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 66%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%55% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Internacional win | 38%45% · Elo 42% | 45%· Elo 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%31% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 33%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Corinthians win | 29%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Internacional attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1466defence1544−78 pts to the attack
Corinthians attack vs Internacional defenceattack1450defence1494−44 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.545%53%
9.533%42%
10.523%31%
11.515%24%
Each team on its own
Internacionalwe expect 4.5, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 30%
Corinthianswe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 26.8 in this match, 25.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.562%51%
25.556%45%
26.550%40%
27.544%36%
Each team on its own
Internacionalwe expect 13.4, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 56%
Corinthianswe expect 12.4, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 47%
Referee: 27.6 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)+1.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 77%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 23%over
We expect 4.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.591%78%
2.577%55%
3.558%35%
4.539%21%
Each team on its own
Internacionalwe expect 2.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 73%
Corinthianswe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Internacional matches average only 8.1 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Corinthians: 6 defeats in a row
- Corinthians: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Internacional: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Internacional: 18 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Corinthians: 17 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Internacional vs Corinthians?
Internacional 2-1 Corinthians (half time 1-0).
Did the Internacional vs Corinthians tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.