Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 28

Sao Paulo 1-0 Internacional: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Morumbí, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Bruno Arleu de Araujo

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won58%

under 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSao Paulo169250%51%Draw28%27%Internacional165322%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%50%O2.542%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Internacional1:1Sao PauloD
  2. Sao Paulo3:0InternacionalW
  3. Internacional1:2Sao PauloW
  4. Sao Paulo1:3InternacionalL
  5. Internacional0:0Sao PauloD
Sao Paulo's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.9over 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 4
RefereeB. Arleu de Araujo+0.4 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Sao Paulo : Internacional
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-013%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%0-08%2-010%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-010%0-08%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals79%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%77%77%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals69%72%72%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals58%53%53%
Both teams to score: no54%50%50%
1 – Sao Paulo win50%51% · Elo 51%51%· Elo 51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes46%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals42%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals31%28%28%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
2 – Internacional win22%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Over 3.5 goals21%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Internacional defenceattack1484defence1489−5 pts to the attack
Internacional attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1470defence1541−71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Internacional matches average only 8.2 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Internacional: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sao Paulo: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Internacional: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
17Internacional307111233:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Internacional?

Sao Paulo 1-0 Internacional (half time 1-0).

Did the Sao Paulo vs Internacional tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.