Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26
Sao Paulo 2-0 Atletico-MG: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Morumbí, Sao Paulo
- Referee:
- Braulio da Silva Machado
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%50%O2.542%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Atletico-MG1:0Sao PauloL
- Sao Paulo2:0Atletico-MGW
- Atletico-MG0:0Sao PauloD
- Sao Paulo2:2Atletico-MGD
- Atletico-MG2:1Sao PauloL
Sao Paulo's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.1under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.9under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 2
RefereeB. da Silva Machado−1.1 cards vs average4 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Sao Paulo : Atletico-MGMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-013%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-09%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Sao Paulo win | 49%45% · Elo 42% | 45%· Elo 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Atletico-MG win | 23%28% · Elo 30% | 28%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Sao Paulo attack vs Atletico-MG defenceattack1486defence1544−58 pts to the attack
Atletico-MG attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1507defence1528−21 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Atletico-MG matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Sao Paulo: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Atletico-MG: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Atletico-MG: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 39 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
Sao Paulo 2-0 Atletico-MG (half time 0-0).