Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 27
Palmeiras 2-0 Sao Paulo: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
- Referee:
- Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 4.9
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost39%
referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.9; our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 4.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%47%O2.543%48%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sao Paulo0:1PalmeirasW
- Sao Paulo2:3PalmeirasW
- Palmeiras1:0Sao PauloW
- Palmeiras2:1Sao PauloW
- Sao Paulo0:0PalmeirasD
Palmeiras's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.9under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.5 cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.7total 2.4Attack/defence1.8 : 0.8total 2.6
Palmeiras : Sao PauloMost likely scores
Market1-014%2-013%1-112%0-010%2-19%3-0—Attack/defence1-013%2-012%1-111%0-08%2-110%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%2-02-013%2-012%1-11-112%1-111%0-00-010%0-08%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-0—3-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%83% | 83% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%73% | 73% |
| 1 – Palmeiras win | 59%59% · Elo 65% | 59%· Elo 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 21% | 24%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Sao Paulo win | 16%17% · Elo 14% | 17%· Elo 14% |
Attack vs defence
Palmeiras attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1596defence1537+59 pts to the attack
Sao Paulo attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1491defence1640−149 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sao Paulo: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Palmeiras: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sao Paulo: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 63 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 39 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?
Palmeiras 2-0 Sao Paulo (half time 1-0).
Did the Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.