Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25

Corinthians 0-1 Santos: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Wilton Pereira Sampaio

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won59%

under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCorinthians166651%50%Draw28%27%Santos172621%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%49%O2.541%45%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Santos1:1CorinthiansD
  2. Santos3:1CorinthiansL
  3. Corinthians1:0SantosW
  4. Corinthians1:1SantosD
  5. Santos0:2CorinthiansW
Corinthians's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.2league 4.9over 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 6
RefereeW. Pereira Sampaio+0.6 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Corinthians : Santos
Most likely scores
Market1-013%1-113%0-011%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-113%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-012%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals69%71%71%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals59%55%55%
Both teams to score: no55%52%52%
1 – Corinthians win51%51% · Elo 50%51%· Elo 50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes45%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals31%29%29%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
2 – Santos win21%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Corinthians attack vs Santos defenceattack1463defence1464−1 pts to the attack
Santos attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1493defence1563−70 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Santos301191046:4542
16Corinthians30881431:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Corinthians vs Santos?

Corinthians 0-1 Santos (half time 0-1).

Did the Corinthians vs Santos tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.