Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 26

Corinthians 1-2 Chapecoense-SC: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee:
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: CorinthiansLost67%

Corinthians: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCorinthians166667%63%Draw20%22%Chapecoense-SC154513%15%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%48%O2.552%50%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Chapecoense-SC0:0CorinthiansD
  2. Corinthians1:0Chapecoense-SCW
  3. Chapecoense-SC0:1CorinthiansW
  4. Chapecoense-SC0:1CorinthiansW
  5. Corinthians1:0Chapecoense-SCW
Corinthians's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses0.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.9under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 4
RefereeW. do Nascimento Magalhaes−0.3 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 0.7total 2.7Attack/defence1.9 : 0.8total 2.7
Corinthians : Chapecoense-SC
Most likely scores
Market2-013%1-012%1-110%2-110%3-09%0-0—Attack/defence2-012%1-012%1-111%2-110%3-07%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-012%1-01-012%1-012%1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-09%3-07%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%84%84%
12 – no draw80%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals70%72%72%
Our tip: 1 – Corinthians win67%61% · Elo 63%61%· Elo 63%
Both teams to score: no54%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals52%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals48%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes46%48%48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat33%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals30%28%28%
Under 1.5 goals23%25%25%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
2 – Chapecoense-SC win13%16% · Elo 15%16%· Elo 15%
Attack vs defence
Corinthians attack vs Chapecoense-SC defenceattack1453defence1365+88 pts to the attack
Chapecoense-SC attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1423defence1566−143 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chapecoense-SC concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Chapecoense-SC matches average only 3.5 cards (league 4.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Chapecoense-SC: newly promoted
  • Corinthians: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Chapecoense-SC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Corinthians30881431:3832
20Chapecoense-SC29391730:6118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Corinthians vs Chapecoense-SC?

Corinthians 1-2 Chapecoense-SC (half time 1-1).

Did the Corinthians vs Chapecoense-SC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Corinthians. The tip lost.