Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 28
Corinthians 1-3 Fluminense: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo (attendance: 38,285)
- Referee:
- Ramon Abatti Abel
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost62%
our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost34%
our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%48%O2.538%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fluminense3:1CorinthiansL
- Fluminense0:1CorinthiansW
- Corinthians0:2FluminenseL
- Fluminense0:0CorinthiansD
- Corinthians3:0FluminenseW
Corinthians's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.9league 4.9over 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 8
RefereeR. Abatti Abel−0.1 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.9total 2.2Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.3
Corinthians : FluminenseMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-012%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-012%0-00-012%0-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 81%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66%68% | 68% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 62%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Corinthians win | 45%42% · Elo 39% | 42%· Elo 39% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 30%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Fluminense win | 25%30% · Elo 32% | 30%· Elo 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Corinthians attack vs Fluminense defenceattack1451defence1564−113 pts to the attack
Fluminense attack vs Corinthians defenceattack1530defence1553−23 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Corinthians: 5 defeats in a row
- Fluminense score a lot late on: 12 of 29 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Corinthians: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Fluminense: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 51 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Corinthians vs Fluminense?
Corinthians 1-3 Fluminense (half time 0-1).
Did the Corinthians vs Fluminense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.