Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 29
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai SIPG: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%O2.552%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Shanghai SIPG1:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerD
- Shanghai SIPG1:1Tianjin Jinmen TigerD
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1:4Shanghai SIPGL
- Shanghai SIPG5:0Tianjin Jinmen TigerL
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0:3Shanghai SIPGL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.9over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.6
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger : Shanghai SIPGMost likely scores
Model1-113%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-28%1-09%2-18%0-08%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Shanghai SIPG win | 40%38% · Elo 42% | 38%· Elo 42% |
| 1 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win | 33%35% · Elo 30% | 35%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Shanghai SIPG defenceattack1440defence1574−134 pts to the attack
Shanghai SIPG attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1597defence1562+35 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%59%
8.551%52%
9.538%42%
10.527%31%
Each team on its own
Tianjin Jinmen Tigerwe expect 4.5, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Shanghai SIPGwe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 79%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 21%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.527%52%
23.521%45%
24.516%39%
25.512%32%
Each team on its own
Tianjin Jinmen Tigerwe expect 9.5, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 26%
Shanghai SIPGwe expect 9.4, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 26%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 4.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.580%60%
3.562%43%
4.543%27%
5.526%18%
Each team on its own
Tianjin Jinmen Tigerwe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Shanghai SIPGwe expect 2.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 16 of 30 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Shanghai SIPG: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shanghai SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | 28 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai SIPG?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win 33%, draw 27%, Shanghai SIPG win 40%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai SIPG?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1.3, Shanghai SIPG 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shanghai SIPG?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 08:30 (UK time).