ChampionshipMatchday 10
Lincoln vs West Ham: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 19mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.558%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.4over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Lincoln : West HamMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-29%0-19%1-0—2-1—0-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%0-2—0-18%1-09%2-19%0-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-21-210%1-28%0-20-29%0-2—0-10-19%0-18%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-00-0—0-07%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 80%60% | 60% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%51% | 51% |
| 2 – West Ham win | 57%34% · Elo 72% | 34%· Elo 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 43%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 17% | 26%· Elo 17% |
| 1 – Lincoln win | 20%40% · Elo 11% | 40%· Elo 11% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Lincoln attack vs West Ham defenceattack1482defence1498−16 pts to the attack
West Ham attack vs Lincoln defenceattack1564defence1510+54 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%56%
8.544%40%
9.532%31%
10.522%20%
Each team on its own
Lincolnwe expect 3.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
West Hamwe expect 4.3, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 21.2 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.561%56%
20.553%46%
21.546%37%
22.539%33%
Each team on its own
Lincolnwe expect 10.9, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 63%
West Hamwe expect 10.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.558%66%
3.536%50%
4.519%32%
5.59%19%
Each team on its own
Lincolnwe expect 1.6, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
West Hamwe expect 1.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lincoln: newly promoted
- West Ham: newly promoted
- Lincoln: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- West Ham: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lincoln vs West Ham?
West Ham are the favourites. Chances: Lincoln win 20%, draw 23%, West Ham win 57%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs West Ham?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Lincoln 1.1, West Ham 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Lincoln vs West Ham?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Lincoln vs West Ham?
The Championship match kicks off 14 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).