ChampionshipMatchday 12
Preston vs West Brom: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%O2.543%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Preston0:2West BromL
- West Brom2:1PrestonL
- West Brom3:1PrestonL
- Preston1:1West BromD
- West Brom3:0PrestonL
Preston's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Preston : West BromMost likely scores
Model1-114%0-111%0-011%1-011%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-09%1-010%1-28%2-18%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-111%0-00-011%0-09%1-01-011%1-010%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%62% | 62% |
| 2 – West Brom win | 36%38% · Elo 41% | 38%· Elo 41% |
| 1 – Preston win | 34%34% · Elo 32% | 34%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
Attack vs defence
Preston attack vs West Brom defenceattack1432defence1560−128 pts to the attack
West Brom attack vs Preston defenceattack1463defence1434+29 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.551%56%
8.538%40%
9.526%31%
10.517%20%
Each team on its own
Prestonwe expect 3.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 32%
West Bromwe expect 3.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.557%56%
20.550%46%
21.543%37%
22.536%33%
Each team on its own
Prestonwe expect 10.6, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 60%
West Bromwe expect 10.2, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%66%
3.555%50%
4.536%32%
5.521%19%
Each team on its own
Prestonwe expect 1.7, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
West Bromwe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Preston concede 2.0 goals per game
- Preston: only 4 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Preston: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- West Brom: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Preston vs West Brom?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Preston win 34%, draw 30%, West Brom win 36%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs West Brom?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Preston 1.1, West Brom 1.2). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Preston vs West Brom?
The Championship match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).