ChampionshipMatchday 11
Wrexham vs Preston: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.553%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Wrexham2:1PrestonW
- Preston1:1WrexhamD
Wrexham's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.2league 10.4under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.0total 2.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Wrexham : PrestonMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%72% | 72% |
| 1 – Wrexham win | 56%51% · Elo 53% | 51%· Elo 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%25% | 25% |
| 2 – Preston win | 20%24% · Elo 22% | 24%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
Wrexham attack vs Preston defenceattack1497defence1434+63 pts to the attack
Preston attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1432defence1497−65 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.551%56%
8.538%40%
9.526%31%
10.517%20%
Each team on its own
Wrexhamwe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Prestonwe expect 3.2, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 20.1 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.553%56%
20.545%46%
21.538%37%
22.531%33%
Each team on its own
Wrexhamwe expect 9.7, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 50%
Prestonwe expect 10.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.569%66%
3.548%50%
4.529%32%
5.516%19%
Each team on its own
Wrexhamwe expect 2.0, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Prestonwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Preston concede 2.0 goals per game
- Preston: only 4 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Wrexham: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Preston: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wrexham vs Preston?
Wrexham are the favourites. Chances: Wrexham win 56%, draw 24%, Preston win 20%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Preston?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Wrexham 1.8, Preston 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Preston?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Wrexham vs Preston?
The Championship match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).