ChampionshipMatchday 10

Wrexham 1-2 West Brom: prediction, tips and result

·

Wrexham
0-01-10-62-11-1
1-2Full time(half time 0-0)
West Brom
0-10-11-11-01-0

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Fouls – Wrexham: Over 9.5Won61%

Wrexham: over 9.5 fouls in 5 of their last 9 league matches, West Brom's opponents committed over 9.5 in 8 of 9 (51% of league matches); 10.1 fouls a match, West Brom's opponents committed 12.4 on average, league average 9.7

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Wrexham: Under 4.5Won59%

    Wrexham: 3.1 shots on target a match, West Brom's opponents had 3.8 on average, league average 4.4; under 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 9 league matches, West Brom's opponents had under 4.5 in 6 of 9 (56% of league matches)

  • Offsides: Under 3.5Lost57%

    2.7 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 3.6 in the visitors', league average 3.7

For the brave
Fouls – Wrexham: Over 10.5Won50%

Wrexham: over 10.5 fouls in 5 of their last 9 league matches, West Brom's opponents committed over 10.5 in 8 of 9 (37% of league matches); our numbers for Wrexham: 10.7 fouls against a league average of 9.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWrexham157942%43%Draw29%28%West Brom156529%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.545%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. West Brom2:2WrexhamD
  2. Wrexham2:3West BromL
Wrexham's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)69%X21:0coverageleague 68% · H2H 2/2covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Wrexham : West Brom
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-18%0-09%2-19%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-10-18%0-110%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals72%69%69%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%69%69%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals55%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes51%49%49%
Both teams to score: no49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals45%43%43%
1 – Wrexham win42%41% · Elo 43%41%· Elo 43%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – West Brom win29%31% · Elo 30%31%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals28%31%31%
Over 3.5 goals24%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Wrexham attack vs West Brom defenceattack1497defence1560−63 pts to the attack
West Brom attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1463defence1497−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.553%56%
8.540%40%
9.528%30%
10.519%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wrexhamwe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
West Bromwe expect 3.7, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 20.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.556%56%
20.548%46%
21.541%36%
22.534%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wrexhamwe expect 10.7, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 61%
West Bromwe expect 9.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%66%
3.543%49%
4.525%31%
5.513%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wrexhamwe expect 1.6, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
West Bromwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wrexham played 3 days ago
  • West Brom played 3 days ago

League form

Wrexham

West Brom

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4West Brom1052312:1017
16Wrexham1025311:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wrexham vs West Brom?

Wrexham 1-2 West Brom (half time 0-0).

Did the Wrexham vs West Brom tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Fouls – Wrexham: Over 9.5. The tip won.

See also