ChampionshipMatchday 8
Wrexham 2-1 Southampton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
- Referee:
- Gavin Ward
Our tips
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon60%
goals at both ends in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (57% of league matches)
Other tips
- Cards: Under 3.5Lost55%
under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (47% of league matches); referee Gavin Ward averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%59%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Wrexham1:5SouthamptonL
- Southampton2:1WrexhamL
Wrexham's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses4.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 5
RefereeG. Ward−0.8 cards vs average29 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Wrexham : SouthamptonMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%0-17%1-07%0-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-07%0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-17%0-18%1-01-07%1-07%0-20-2—0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%60% | 60% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 60%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%41% | 41% |
| 2 – Southampton win | 39%40% · Elo 48% | 40%· Elo 48% |
| 1 – Wrexham win | 35%35% · Elo 25% | 35%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Wrexham attack vs Southampton defenceattack1498defence1527−29 pts to the attack
Southampton attack vs Wrexham defenceattack1626defence1489+137 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Wrexham vs Southampton?
Wrexham 2-1 Southampton (half time 1-0).
Did the Wrexham vs Southampton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.