ChampionshipMatchday 11
West Brom vs Blackburn: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%46%O2.545%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Blackburn0:0West BromD
- West Brom1:0BlackburnW
- West Brom0:2BlackburnL
- Blackburn0:0West BromD
- West Brom4:1BlackburnW
West Brom's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.4over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
West Brom : BlackburnMost likely scores
Market1-012%1-113%0-09%2-010%0-1—2-19%Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-011%2-09%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-09%0-011%2-02-010%2-09%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-19%2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%60% | 60% |
| 1 – West Brom win | 51%46% · Elo 44% | 46%· Elo 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%20% | 20% |
| 2 – Blackburn win | 22%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
Attack vs defence
West Brom attack vs Blackburn defenceattack1463defence1510−47 pts to the attack
Blackburn attack vs West Brom defenceattack1439defence1560−121 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.549%56%
8.536%40%
9.525%31%
10.516%20%
Each team on its own
West Bromwe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Blackburnwe expect 3.4, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 19.9 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.551%56%
20.543%46%
21.536%37%
22.529%33%
Each team on its own
West Bromwe expect 8.8, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 39%
Blackburnwe expect 11.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%66%
3.550%50%
4.531%32%
5.517%19%
Each team on its own
West Bromwe expect 1.7, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Blackburnwe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Blackburn: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- West Brom: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Blackburn: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win West Brom vs Blackburn?
West Brom are the favourites. Chances: West Brom win 51%, draw 27%, Blackburn win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Blackburn?
Expected goals: 2.4 (West Brom 1.5, Blackburn 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Blackburn?
The chance that both teams score is 49%.
When is West Brom vs Blackburn?
The Championship match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).