ChampionshipMatchday 6

Wolves vs Portsmouth: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 6d 12h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloWolves181262%73%Draw22%17%Portsmouth152216%11%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.550%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Portsmouth3:1WolvesL
  2. Wolves0:1PortsmouthL
  3. Portsmouth0:0WolvesD
  4. Wolves0:0PortsmouthD
  5. Portsmouth1:0WolvesL
Wolves's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Wolves : Portsmouth
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-09%2-110%2-010%0-0—0-1—3-17%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-17%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat84%75%75%
12 – no draw78%74%74%
1 – Wolves win62%49% · Elo 73%49%· Elo 73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%51%51%
X – draw22%26% · Elo 17%26%· Elo 17%
2 – Portsmouth win16%26% · Elo 11%26%· Elo 11%
Attack vs defence
Wolves attack vs Portsmouth defenceattack1540defence1496+44 pts to the attack
Portsmouth attack vs Wolves defenceattack1467defence1510−43 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%56%
8.541%40%
9.529%31%
10.519%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Portsmouthwe expect 3.5, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 70%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 30%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.576%56%
20.570%46%
21.563%37%
22.556%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 11.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 66%
Portsmouthwe expect 13.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 72%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.575%66%
3.556%50%
4.537%32%
5.521%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 2.1, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Portsmouthwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 55%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wolves: newly promoted
  • Portsmouth played 3 days ago
  • Wolves: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Wolves942316:1414
20Portsmouth82249:118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?

Wolves are the favourites. Chances: Wolves win 62%, draw 22%, Portsmouth win 16%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Portsmouth?

Expected goals: 3.1 (Wolves 2.1, Portsmouth 1.0). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Wolves vs Portsmouth?

The Championship match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).