ChampionshipMatchday 6
Wolves vs Portsmouth: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 6d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.550%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Portsmouth3:1WolvesL
- Wolves0:1PortsmouthL
- Portsmouth0:0WolvesD
- Wolves0:0PortsmouthD
- Portsmouth1:0WolvesL
Wolves's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Wolves : PortsmouthMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-09%2-110%2-010%0-0—0-1—3-17%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-17%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Wolves win | 62%49% · Elo 73% | 49%· Elo 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 38%51% | 51% |
| X – draw | 22%26% · Elo 17% | 26%· Elo 17% |
| 2 – Portsmouth win | 16%26% · Elo 11% | 26%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Wolves attack vs Portsmouth defenceattack1540defence1496+44 pts to the attack
Portsmouth attack vs Wolves defenceattack1467defence1510−43 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.554%56%
8.541%40%
9.529%31%
10.519%20%
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Portsmouthwe expect 3.5, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 70%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 30%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.576%56%
20.570%46%
21.563%37%
22.556%33%
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 11.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 66%
Portsmouthwe expect 13.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 72%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%66%
3.556%50%
4.537%32%
5.521%19%
Each team on its own
Wolveswe expect 2.1, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Portsmouthwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wolves: newly promoted
- Portsmouth played 3 days ago
- Wolves: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Wolves are the favourites. Chances: Wolves win 62%, draw 22%, Portsmouth win 16%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Portsmouth?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Wolves 2.1, Portsmouth 1.0). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Wolves vs Portsmouth?
The Championship match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).