ChampionshipMatchday 11
Norwich vs Portsmouth: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Norwich1:1PortsmouthD
- Portsmouth1:2NorwichW
- Norwich3:5PortsmouthL
- Portsmouth0:0NorwichD
- Portsmouth0:1NorwichW
Norwich's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.8
Norwich : PortsmouthMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-08%3-1—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Norwich win | 58%49% · Elo 50% | 49%· Elo 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Portsmouth win | 19%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Norwich attack vs Portsmouth defenceattack1564defence1496+68 pts to the attack
Portsmouth attack vs Norwich defenceattack1467defence1476−9 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%56%
8.546%40%
9.534%31%
10.524%20%
Each team on its own
Norwichwe expect 4.7, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Portsmouthwe expect 3.9, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 23.1 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.572%56%
20.565%46%
21.559%37%
22.552%33%
Each team on its own
Norwichwe expect 10.7, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 61%
Portsmouthwe expect 12.7, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 70%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 68%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 32%over
We expect 4.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.584%66%
3.568%50%
4.550%32%
5.533%19%
Each team on its own
Norwichwe expect 2.4, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Portsmouthwe expect 2.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 69%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Norwich concede 2.1 goals per game
- Norwich: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Norwich: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Norwich played 3 days ago
- Portsmouth played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Norwich are the favourites. Chances: Norwich win 58%, draw 23%, Portsmouth win 19%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Norwich 2.0, Portsmouth 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The Championship match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).