League TwoMatchday 13
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.547%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rotherham1:2ShrewsburyL
- Shrewsbury1:1RotherhamD
- Rotherham0:3ShrewsburyL
- Shrewsbury0:0RotherhamD
- Shrewsbury1:2RotherhamW
Rotherham's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.0total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Rotherham : ShrewsburyMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-012%0-0—2-19%2-09%0-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-010%2-19%2-09%0-19%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-012%1-013%0-00-0—0-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-10-18%0-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Rotherham win | 48%47% · Elo 56% | 47%· Elo 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%32% | 32% |
| 2 – Shrewsbury win | 26%25% · Elo 20% | 25%· Elo 20% |
| X – draw | 26%28% · Elo 24% | 28%· Elo 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Rotherham attack vs Shrewsbury defenceattack1516defence1477+39 pts to the attack
Shrewsbury attack vs Rotherham defenceattack1429defence1508−79 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.560%61%
7.546%45%
8.533%27%
9.522%17%
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Shrewsburywe expect 3.2, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 66%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 23.1 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.572%61%
20.566%57%
21.559%51%
22.552%45%
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 11.3, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Shrewsburywe expect 12.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%58%
3.542%41%
4.524%28%
5.512%11%
Each team on its own
Rotherhamwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Shrewsburywe expect 2.0, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rotherham: newly promoted
- Rotherham: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Shrewsbury: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rotherham vs Shrewsbury?
Rotherham are the favourites. Chances: Rotherham win 48%, draw 26%, Shrewsbury win 26%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Shrewsbury?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Rotherham 1.5, Shrewsbury 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Rotherham vs Shrewsbury?
The League Two match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).