Premier LeagueMatchday 8
Hull vs Brentford: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%57%O2.556%54%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hull1:5BrentfordL
- Brentford1:1HullD
- Brentford5:1HullL
- Hull2:0BrentfordW
- Brentford1:1HullD
Hull's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.9total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.6total 2.8
Hull : BrentfordMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-29%0-19%2-1—1-0—0-06%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-27%0-19%2-18%1-07%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-29%0-27%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-18%1-01-0—1-07%0-00-06%0-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 80%69% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%68% | 68% |
| 2 – Brentford win | 56%43% · Elo 71% | 43%· Elo 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%57% | 57% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 44%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 17% | 26%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%22% | 22% |
| 1 – Hull win | 20%31% · Elo 11% | 31%· Elo 11% |
Attack vs defence
Hull attack vs Brentford defenceattack1403defence1497−94 pts to the attack
Brentford attack vs Hull defenceattack1543defence1433+110 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.561%57%
8.548%45%
9.536%32%
10.525%21%
Each team on its own
Hullwe expect 4.7, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Brentfordwe expect 4.0, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 18.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.533%52%
21.526%46%
22.521%36%
23.516%30%
Each team on its own
Hullwe expect 9.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 33%
Brentfordwe expect 9.0, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.558%63%
3.536%43%
4.519%23%
5.59%13%
Each team on its own
Hullwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Brentfordwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brentford: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Hull: newly promoted
- Hull: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Brentford: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Hull | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hull vs Brentford?
Brentford are the favourites. Chances: Hull win 20%, draw 24%, Brentford win 56%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Hull vs Brentford?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Hull 1.0, Brentford 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Brentford?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Hull vs Brentford?
The Premier League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).