Ligue 1Matchday 8
Angers vs Lorient: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 13hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%50%O2.547%44%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lorient2:0AngersL
- Angers2:0LorientW
- Lorient0:0AngersD
- Angers1:2LorientL
- Lorient0:0AngersD
Angers's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Angers : LorientMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-19%1-09%0-09%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-010%0-09%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-19%0-111%1-01-09%1-010%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%50% | 50% |
| 1 – Angers win | 37%35% · Elo 34% | 35%· Elo 34% |
| 2 – Lorient win | 35%37% · Elo 38% | 37%· Elo 38% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Angers attack vs Lorient defenceattack1371defence1501−130 pts to the attack
Lorient attack vs Angers defenceattack1441defence1439+2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%60%
8.550%49%
9.538%38%
10.527%28%
Each team on its own
Angerswe expect 4.3, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Lorientwe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 20.0 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.544%53%
21.537%47%
22.530%41%
23.525%36%
Each team on its own
Angerswe expect 10.6, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Lorientwe expect 9.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%63%
3.535%43%
4.518%26%
5.59%14%
Each team on its own
Angerswe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Lorientwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Angers vs Lorient?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Angers win 37%, draw 28%, Lorient win 35%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Angers vs Lorient?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Angers 1.3, Lorient 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Angers vs Lorient?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Angers vs Lorient?
The Ligue 1 match kicks off 25 October 2026, 16:15 (UK time).