Ligue 1Matchday 6

Monaco 2-2 Toulouse: prediction, tips and result

·

Monaco
1-02-02-11-12-1
2-2Full time(half time 2-0)
Toulouse
3-22-20-12-20-2
Stadium:
Stade Louis II, Fontvieille
Referee:
Ruddy Buquet

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost61%

our numbers: 3.2 yellow cards against a league average of 3.6; referee Ruddy Buquet averages 2.8 yellow cards a match, league average 3.6

Other tips

  • Offsides – Monaco: Over 1.5Lost58%

    Monaco: over 1.5 offsides in 5 of their last 5 league matches (51% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Toulouse: Over 3.5Won56%

    Toulouse: 4.8 shots on target a match, Monaco's opponents had 4.6 on average, league average 3.8

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 2.5Lost39%

referee Ruddy Buquet averages 2.8 yellow cards a match, league average 3.6; under 2.5 yellow cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 5 (28% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMonaco192560%57%Draw21%24%Toulouse179618%19%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.563%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Toulouse2:2MonacoD
  2. Monaco1:0ToulouseW
  3. Toulouse1:1MonacoD
  4. Monaco2:0ToulouseW
  5. Monaco1:2ToulouseL
Monaco's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.6under 3.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 4
RefereeR. Buquet−0.9 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 64% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Monaco : Toulouse
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-08%3-1—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%75%75%
12 – no draw78%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals63%54%54%
1 – Monaco win60%50% · Elo 57%50%· Elo 57%
Under 3.5 goals60%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals40%31%31%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals37%46%46%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Toulouse win18%25% · Elo 19%25%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals16%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Monaco attack vs Toulouse defenceattack1577defence1515+62 pts to the attack
Toulouse attack vs Monaco defenceattack1491defence1526−35 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%59%
8.552%48%
9.539%37%
10.528%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Monacowe expect 5.0, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Toulousewe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 21.5 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.555%53%
21.548%47%
22.541%42%
23.534%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Monacowe expect 10.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Toulousewe expect 11.6, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Referee: 20.4 fouls per match on average (20 matches in our data)−0.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.566%63%
3.545%43%
4.527%26%
5.514%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Monacowe expect 2.0, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Toulousewe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Monaco

Toulouse

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Monaco642010:514
15Toulouse61329:116
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco 2-2 Toulouse (half time 2-0).

Did the Monaco vs Toulouse tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.

See also