UEFA Champions LeagueMatchday 3
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arsenal3:1Bayern MunichL
- Bayern Munich1:0ArsenalW
- Arsenal2:2Bayern MunichD
- Arsenal1:5Bayern MunichW
- Bayern Munich5:1ArsenalW
Bayern Munich's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.3total 2.8
Bayern Munich : ArsenalMost likely scores
Model1-111%1-010%2-19%0-18%1-27%
Model1-11-111%1-01-010%2-12-19%0-10-18%1-21-27%
| Outcome | Model |
|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56% |
| 1 – Bayern Munich win | 44% |
| 2 – Arsenal win | 32% |
| X – draw | 24% |
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bayern Munich score 3.3 goals per game
- Bayern Munich: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Arsenal: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Arsenal concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Arsenal: unbeaten in 17 matches
- Bayern Munich: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Arsenal: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Form in the competition
Bayern Munich
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?
Bayern Munich are the favourites. Chances: Bayern Munich win 44%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 32%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Bayern Munich 1.6, Arsenal 1.3). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?
The UEFA Champions League match kicks off 21 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).