UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 3

Hoffenheim vs Lyon: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 8d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloHoffenheim179628%33%Draw23%27%Lyon191249%41%
Goalsattack/defenceno forecast
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Hoffenheim2:2LyonD
  2. Lyon2:2HoffenheimD
  3. Hoffenheim3:3LyonD
Hoffenheim's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses4.7 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical model
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 1.6total 2.8
Hoffenheim : Lyon
Most likely scores
Model0-111%1-111%1-210%0-28%1-08%
Model0-10-111%1-11-111%1-21-210%0-20-28%1-01-08%
OutcomeModel
12 – no draw77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat72%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%
2 – Lyon win49%
1 – Hoffenheim win28%
X – draw23%

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lyon: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Hoffenheim: newly promoted
  • Hoffenheim: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lyon: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

Form in the competition

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Lyon11002:13
29Hoffenheim10010:20
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Lyon are the favourites. Chances: Hoffenheim win 28%, draw 23%, Lyon win 49%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

Expected goals: 2.8 (Hoffenheim 1.2, Lyon 1.6). Most likely score: 0-1.

When is Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

The UEFA Europa League match kicks off 22 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).