Serie AMatchday 8
Genoa vs Venezia: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%53%O2.550%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Genoa2:0VeneziaW
- Venezia2:0GenoaL
- Venezia1:1GenoaD
- Genoa0:0VeneziaD
Genoa's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss1.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.9over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.6over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Genoa : VeneziaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Genoa win | 45%50% · Elo 49% | 50%· Elo 49% |
| 2 – Venezia win | 28%25% · Elo 23% | 25%· Elo 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Genoa attack vs Venezia defenceattack1436defence1387+49 pts to the attack
Venezia attack vs Genoa defenceattack1383defence1472−89 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%57%
8.543%41%
9.531%28%
10.521%19%
Each team on its own
Genoawe expect 4.4, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Veneziawe expect 3.8, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.538%51%
23.532%45%
24.526%37%
25.521%33%
Each team on its own
Genoawe expect 9.7, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Veneziawe expect 11.2, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%62%
3.554%41%
4.535%28%
5.520%15%
Each team on its own
Genoawe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Veneziawe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Genoa score only 0.6 goals per game
- Venezia: 6 defeats in a row
- Venezia: newly promoted
- Genoa: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Venezia: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 0 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa are the favourites. Chances: Genoa win 45%, draw 27%, Venezia win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Venezia?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Genoa 1.5, Venezia 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Venezia?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Genoa vs Venezia?
The Serie A match kicks off 25 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).