Serie AMatchday 7
Monza vs Cagliari: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%54%O2.545%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Cagliari3:0MonzaL
- Monza1:2CagliariL
- Monza1:0CagliariW
- Cagliari1:1MonzaD
Monza's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 8.9over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Monza : CagliariMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-19%0-09%2-19%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-110%0-08%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-09%0-10-19%0-110%0-00-09%0-08%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Monza win | 40%35% · Elo 31% | 35%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Cagliari win | 30%38% · Elo 39% | 38%· Elo 39% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%27% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Monza attack vs Cagliari defenceattack1406defence1488−82 pts to the attack
Cagliari attack vs Monza defenceattack1436defence1396+40 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.569%57%
8.556%41%
9.544%28%
10.532%19%
Each team on its own
Monzawe expect 5.4, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 61%
Cagliariwe expect 4.5, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.534%51%
23.528%45%
24.522%37%
25.518%33%
Each team on its own
Monzawe expect 10.4, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Cagliariwe expect 9.8, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 29%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%62%
3.551%41%
4.533%28%
5.518%15%
Each team on its own
Monzawe expect 2.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 72%
Cagliariwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Daniel MaldiniCagliari4 matches with a goal4 goalsWent on 29%Season 67%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cagliari: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Monza: newly promoted
- Monza: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Cagliari: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza are the favourites. Chances: Monza win 40%, draw 29%, Cagliari win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Cagliari?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Monza 1.3, Cagliari 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Monza vs Cagliari?
The chance that both teams score is 51%.
When is Monza vs Cagliari?
The Serie A match kicks off 19 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time).