Serie AMatchday 7
Parma vs Torino: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%53%O2.539%47%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Torino4:1ParmaL
- Parma2:1TorinoW
- Parma2:2TorinoD
- Torino0:0ParmaD
- Torino1:0ParmaL
Parma's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.9over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.6under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Parma : TorinoMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-112%0-012%1-010%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%0-08%1-010%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-19%0-00-012%0-08%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 81%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%63% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%64% | 64% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Torino win | 38%36% · Elo 36% | 36%· Elo 36% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%28% | 28% |
| 1 – Parma win | 31%37% · Elo 34% | 37%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Parma attack vs Torino defenceattack1386defence1459−73 pts to the attack
Torino attack vs Parma defenceattack1460defence1451+9 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 7.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.550%57%
8.537%41%
9.525%28%
10.516%19%
Each team on its own
Parmawe expect 3.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Torinowe expect 3.6, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 21.9 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.543%51%
23.537%45%
24.530%37%
25.525%33%
Each team on its own
Parmawe expect 10.6, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 38%
Torinowe expect 11.1, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%62%
3.544%41%
4.525%28%
5.513%15%
Each team on its own
Parmawe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Torinowe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Torino matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Parma score only 0.7 goals per game
- Parma score a lot late on: 8 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Parma: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Torino: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Parma vs Torino?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Parma win 31%, draw 30%, Torino win 38%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Torino?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Parma 1.1, Torino 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 39%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Parma vs Torino?
The chance that both teams score is 46%.
When is Parma vs Torino?
The Serie A match kicks off 19 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).