J1 LeagueMatchday 12
FC Tokyo vs Mito: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 3hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%O2.551%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- FC Tokyo5:2MitoW
- Mito1:1FC TokyoD
FC Tokyo's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses4.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.4league 2.6under 2.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
FC Tokyo : MitoMost likely scores
Model1-012%1-111%2-011%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-011%1-112%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-012%1-011%1-11-111%1-112%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-07%0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%71% | 71% |
| 1 – FC Tokyo win | 58%55% · Elo 59% | 55%· Elo 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Mito win | 19%21% · Elo 18% | 21%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
FC Tokyo attack vs Mito defenceattack1546defence1426+120 pts to the attack
Mito attack vs FC Tokyo defenceattack1430defence1554−124 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%53%
8.542%39%
9.530%28%
10.521%23%
Each team on its own
FC Tokyowe expect 4.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Mitowe expect 3.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 18.4 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.547%58%
19.539%49%
20.532%42%
21.525%35%
Each team on its own
FC Tokyowe expect 9.1, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 42%
Mitowe expect 9.1, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%54%
3.543%35%
4.525%19%
5.513%13%
Each team on its own
FC Tokyowe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Mitowe expect 1.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Tokyo: 4 wins in a row
- FC Tokyo: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Mito: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 13 | Mito | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito?
FC Tokyo are the favourites. Chances: FC Tokyo win 58%, draw 23%, Mito win 19%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Mito?
Expected goals: 2.7 (FC Tokyo 1.8, Mito 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is FC Tokyo vs Mito?
The J1 League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 07:00 (UK time).