J1 LeagueMatchday 12
Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 2hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.552%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kashiwa Reysol0:1Kashima AntlersW
- Kashima Antlers2:0Kashiwa ReysolW
- Kashima Antlers3:2Kashiwa ReysolW
- Kashiwa Reysol1:3Kashima AntlersW
- Kashima Antlers0:0Kashiwa ReysolD
Kashima Antlers's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.6league 2.6under 2.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 2.6 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Kashima Antlers : Kashiwa ReysolMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-011%2-110%2-08%0-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-17%1-27%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-17%0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Kashima Antlers win | 49%46% · Elo 48% | 46%· Elo 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%30% | 30% |
| 2 – Kashiwa Reysol win | 27%29% · Elo 25% | 29%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Kashima Antlers attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1582defence1515+67 pts to the attack
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs Kashima Antlers defenceattack1565defence1570−5 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%53%
8.549%39%
9.537%28%
10.526%23%
Each team on its own
Kashima Antlerswe expect 4.5, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Kashiwa Reysolwe expect 4.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 64%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 19.2 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.553%58%
19.545%49%
20.538%42%
21.531%35%
Each team on its own
Kashima Antlerswe expect 9.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 43%
Kashiwa Reysolwe expect 9.9, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.558%54%
3.536%35%
4.519%19%
5.59%13%
Each team on its own
Kashima Antlerswe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Kashiwa Reysolwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Kashima Antlers played 3 days ago
- Kashiwa Reysol played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashima Antlers are the favourites. Chances: Kashima Antlers win 49%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol win 27%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Kashima Antlers 1.6, Kashiwa Reysol 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The J1 League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 07:00 (UK time).