J1 LeagueMatchday 10
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.561%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kashiwa Reysol1:0Nagoya GrampusW
- Nagoya Grampus1:2Kashiwa ReysolW
- Nagoya Grampus2:1Kashiwa ReysolL
- Kashiwa Reysol0:2Nagoya GrampusL
- Nagoya Grampus1:1Kashiwa ReysolD
Kashiwa Reysol's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 2.6under 2.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 2.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.8
Kashiwa Reysol : Nagoya GrampusMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%3-1—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-09%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Kashiwa Reysol win | 60%49% · Elo 50% | 49%· Elo 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%44% | 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 41%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 22%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Nagoya Grampus win | 19%27% · Elo 24% | 27%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs Nagoya Grampus defenceattack1565defence1468+97 pts to the attack
Nagoya Grampus attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1496defence1515−19 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%53%
8.549%39%
9.536%28%
10.526%23%
Each team on its own
Kashiwa Reysolwe expect 5.6, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 63%
Nagoya Grampuswe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 19.1 in this match, 19.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.552%58%
19.545%49%
20.537%42%
21.530%35%
Each team on its own
Kashiwa Reysolwe expect 10.1, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 54%
Nagoya Grampuswe expect 8.9, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 29%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 72%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 28%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.549%54%
3.528%35%
4.513%19%
5.56%13%
Each team on its own
Kashiwa Reysolwe expect 1.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Nagoya Grampuswe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:15 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kashiwa Reysol are the favourites. Chances: Kashiwa Reysol win 60%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus win 19%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Kashiwa Reysol 2.1, Nagoya Grampus 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
The J1 League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 11:00 (UK time).