Eerste DivisieMatchday 12
FC Eindhoven vs Jong Eindhoven: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%O2.563%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Jong Eindhoven1:2FC EindhovenW
- FC Eindhoven4:0Jong EindhovenW
- Jong Eindhoven0:2FC EindhovenW
- FC Eindhoven1:0Jong EindhovenW
- FC Eindhoven2:5Jong EindhovenL
FC Eindhoven's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.2under 3.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.9 : 1.6total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.3
FC Eindhoven : Jong EindhovenMost likely scores
Model1-19%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-06%1-06%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 66%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%58% | 58% |
| 1 – FC Eindhoven win | 44%42% · Elo 40% | 42%· Elo 40% |
| 2 – Jong Eindhoven win | 34%34% · Elo 34% | 34%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
Attack vs defence
FC Eindhoven attack vs Jong Eindhoven defenceattack1451defence14510 pts to the attack
Jong Eindhoven attack vs FC Eindhoven defenceattack1498defence1439+59 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.563%61%
9.551%51%
10.539%36%
11.528%29%
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 4.8, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 35%
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 4.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 21.2 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.538%48%
23.532%45%
24.526%36%
25.521%32%
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 10.8, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 10.1, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 33%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%59%
3.546%31%
4.527%20%
5.514%11%
Each team on its own
FC Eindhovenwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Jong Eindhovenwe expect 1.9, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FC Eindhoven concede 2.2 goals per game
- Jong Eindhoven matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- FC Eindhoven: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- FC Eindhoven: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Jong Eindhoven: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jong Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Jong Eindhoven?
FC Eindhoven are the favourites. Chances: FC Eindhoven win 44%, draw 22%, Jong Eindhoven win 34%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in FC Eindhoven vs Jong Eindhoven?
Expected goals: 3.5 (FC Eindhoven 1.9, Jong Eindhoven 1.6). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is FC Eindhoven vs Jong Eindhoven?
The Eerste Divisie match kicks off 23 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).