EredivisieMatchday 10
Den Haag vs Heerenveen: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%59%O2.564%56%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Heerenveen3:0Den HaagL
- Den Haag1:1HeerenveenD
- Heerenveen2:2Den HaagD
- Den Haag1:1HeerenveenD
- Den Haag2:3HeerenveenL
Den Haag's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.0under 3.5: 67%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.9total 3.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 2.9
Den Haag : HeerenveenMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%0-1—2-17%0-27%2-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-18%2-18%0-27%2-2—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-1—0-18%2-12-17%2-18%0-20-27%0-27%2-22-27%2-2—1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 71%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 52%58% | 58% |
| 2 – Heerenveen win | 47%42% · Elo 45% | 42%· Elo 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%41% | 41% |
| 1 – Den Haag win | 28%33% · Elo 27% | 33%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Den Haag attack vs Heerenveen defenceattack1380defence1503−123 pts to the attack
Heerenveen attack vs Den Haag defenceattack1492defence1416+76 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.556%51%
10.544%41%
11.533%33%
12.524%21%
Each team on its own
Den Haagwe expect 4.4, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 29%
Heerenveenwe expect 5.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 65%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 18.5 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.547%59%
19.540%50%
20.533%43%
21.526%37%
Each team on its own
Den Haagwe expect 9.7, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 49%
Heerenveenwe expect 8.6, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 26%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.578%71%
2.556%48%
3.534%29%
4.517%14%
Each team on its own
Den Haagwe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Heerenveenwe expect 1.4, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Den Haag: no win in 8 matches
- Den Haag: newly promoted
- Den Haag: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Heerenveen: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen are the favourites. Chances: Den Haag win 28%, draw 24%, Heerenveen win 47%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Den Haag 1.4, Heerenveen 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Den Haag vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 24 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).