EredivisieMatchday 8

PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen: prediction, tips and result

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PSV Eindhoven
5-16-13-14-12-3
2-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Heerenveen
4-00-02-32-20-2
Stadium:
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Referee:
Joey Kooij

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost64%

our numbers: 4.4 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3; over 3.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (42% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: PSV EindhovenWon72%

    PSV Eindhoven: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 5 of their last 7 league matches

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 3.5Won63%

    under 3.5 card points in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (60% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Fouls – Heerenveen: Under 8.5Won61%

    our numbers for Heerenveen: 7.9 fouls against a league average of 10.2; Heerenveen: under 8.5 fouls in 5 of their last 7 league matches, PSV Eindhoven's opponents committed under 8.5 in 5 of 7 (32% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – PSV Eindhoven: Over 5.5Lost56%

    our numbers for PSV Eindhoven: 6.1 shots on target against a league average of 5.4

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPSV Eindhoven194874%79%Draw14%14%Heerenveen160113%8%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%63%O2.581%74%|exp. goals 2.8 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. PSV Eindhoven3:1HeerenveenW
  2. Heerenveen0:2PSV EindhovenW
  3. PSV Eindhoven2:1HeerenveenW
  4. Heerenveen1:0PSV EindhovenL
  5. Heerenveen0:8PSV EindhovenW
PSV Eindhoven's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.4over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.1under 3.5: 66%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Kooij0.0 yellow cards vs average33 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O3.52:1coverageleague 45% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.1 : 1.3total 4.4Attack/defence2.8 : 1.1total 3.9
PSV Eindhoven : Heerenveen
Most likely scores
Market2-18%3-18%2-06%3-06%1-1—4-16%1-0—Attack/defence2-19%3-18%2-08%3-07%1-17%4-1—1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%3-13-18%3-18%2-02-06%2-08%3-03-06%3-07%1-11-1—1-17%4-14-16%4-1—1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals93%90%90%
1X – home team avoid defeat88%87%87%
12 – no draw87%84%84%
Over 2.5 goals81%74%74%
1 – PSV Eindhoven win74%72% · Elo 79%72%· Elo 79%
Both teams to score: yes69%63%63%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals63%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals37%46%46%
Both teams to score: no31%37%37%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%29%29%
Under 2.5 goals19%26%26%
X – draw14%16% · Elo 14%16%· Elo 14%
2 – Heerenveen win13%13% · Elo 8%13%· Elo 8%
Under 1.5 goals7%10%10%
Attack vs defence
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Heerenveen defenceattack1748defence1493+255 pts to the attack
Heerenveen attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1498defence1611−113 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
9.557%51%
10.545%42%
11.534%34%
12.525%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 6.1, league average 5.4 · chance of over 5.5: 56%
Heerenveenwe expect 4.4, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 75%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 25%
We expect 16.5 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.532%59%
19.525%50%
20.519%43%
21.514%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 8.1, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 30%
Heerenveenwe expect 7.9, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 19%
Referee: 19.6 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)+0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.568%71%
2.542%47%
3.522%28%
4.510%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Heerenveenwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 29%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • PSV Eindhoven score 3.5 goals per game
  • PSV Eindhoven: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • PSV Eindhoven: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Heerenveen: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

PSV Eindhoven

Heerenveen

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2PSV Eindhoven861126:1019
10Heerenveen823311:119
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen (half time 1-0).

Did the PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.

See also