EredivisieMatchday 7

Sparta 0-4 Heerenveen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Referee:
Robin Hensgens

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won62%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (62% of league matches); 2.0 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.5 in the visitors', league average 3.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSparta152739%38%Draw25%29%Heerenveen160437%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%62%O2.567%59%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Heerenveen2:1SpartaL
  2. Sparta0:3HeerenveenL
  3. Sparta3:1HeerenveenW
  4. Heerenveen2:0SpartaL
  5. Sparta2:1HeerenveenW
Sparta's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.4over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.2under 3.5: 62%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 2
RefereeR. Hensgens+0.1 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.7total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.1
Sparta : Heerenveen
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-27%2-0—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%81%81%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes69%62%62%
Over 2.5 goals67%59%59%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals54%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals46%37%37%
1 – Sparta win39%43% · Elo 38%43%· Elo 38%
2 – Heerenveen win37%33% · Elo 33%33%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals33%41%41%
Both teams to score: no31%38%38%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 29%24%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals13%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Sparta attack vs Heerenveen defenceattack1450defence1481−31 pts to the attack
Heerenveen attack vs Sparta defenceattack1483defence1462+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sparta concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Sparta: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sparta matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Sparta: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Sparta: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Heerenveen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Heerenveen823311:119
14Sparta813413:206
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sparta vs Heerenveen?

Sparta 0-4 Heerenveen (half time 0-2).

Did the Sparta vs Heerenveen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.