EredivisieMatchday 9
Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%62%O2.577%69%|exp. goals 1.1 : 2.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Den Haag2:2PSV EindhovenD
- PSV Eindhoven4:0Den HaagL
- Den Haag0:3PSV EindhovenL
- PSV Eindhoven3:1Den HaagL
- PSV Eindhoven3:1Den HaagL
Den Haag's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.0under 3.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 3.0total 4.1Attack/defence1.1 : 2.5total 3.6
Den Haag : PSV EindhovenMost likely scores
Market1-28%0-28%1-38%0-38%1-1—0-1—1-46%Attack/defence1-210%0-29%1-38%0-37%1-18%0-17%1-4—
MarketAttack/defence1-21-28%1-210%0-20-28%0-29%1-31-38%1-38%0-30-38%0-37%1-11-1—1-18%0-10-1—0-17%1-41-46%1-4—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 92%87% | 87% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 89%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 87%82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77%69% | 69% |
| 2 – PSV Eindhoven win | 76%66% · Elo 81% | 66%· Elo 81% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%62% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 58%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 42%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%39% | 39% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 24%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 13%18% · Elo 13% | 18%· Elo 13% |
| 1 – Den Haag win | 11%15% · Elo 7% | 15%· Elo 7% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Den Haag attack vs PSV Eindhoven defenceattack1380defence1618−238 pts to the attack
PSV Eindhoven attack vs Den Haag defenceattack1738defence1416+322 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 10.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 10.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.563%51%
10.552%41%
11.541%33%
12.531%21%
Each team on its own
Den Haagwe expect 4.4, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 28%
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 6.9, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 78%
Foulsleague average
Under 19.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 18.2 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.545%59%
19.538%50%
20.531%43%
21.524%37%
Each team on its own
Den Haagwe expect 8.9, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 40%
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 9.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 32%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.577%71%
2.553%48%
3.531%29%
4.516%14%
Each team on its own
Den Haagwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
PSV Eindhovenwe expect 1.5, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- PSV Eindhoven score 3.5 goals per game
- PSV Eindhoven: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Den Haag: no win in 8 matches
- Den Haag: newly promoted
- Den Haag: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- PSV Eindhoven: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven are the favourites. Chances: Den Haag win 11%, draw 13%, PSV Eindhoven win 76%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
Expected goals: 4.1 (Den Haag 1.1, PSV Eindhoven 3.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 77%. Most likely score: 1-2.
Will both teams score in Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
The chance that both teams score is 63%.
When is Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).