EredivisieMatchday 9
Nijmegen vs For Sittard: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%60%O2.570%62%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nijmegen2:3For SittardL
- For Sittard3:2NijmegenL
- Nijmegen4:1For SittardW
- For Sittard0:3NijmegenW
- For Sittard1:1NijmegenD
Nijmegen's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.0league 3.0under 3.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.In this league 65% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.3total 3.7Attack/defence2.1 : 1.2total 3.2
Nijmegen : For SittardMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-07%1-0—3-17%2-26%3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%2-2—3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-26%2-2—3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%83% | 83% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Nijmegen win | 61%58% · Elo 54% | 58%· Elo 54% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%40% | 40% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 39%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 26% | 22%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – For Sittard win | 19%21% · Elo 20% | 21%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Nijmegen attack vs For Sittard defenceattack1562defence1464+98 pts to the attack
For Sittard attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1434defence1524−90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 10.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.9.553%51%
10.542%41%
11.531%33%
12.522%21%
Each team on its own
Nijmegenwe expect 5.7, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
For Sittardwe expect 4.3, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 19.9 in this match, 19.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.559%59%
19.551%50%
20.543%43%
21.536%37%
Each team on its own
Nijmegenwe expect 10.0, league average 9.4 · chance of over 9.5: 53%
For Sittardwe expect 9.9, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 3.2 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.582%71%
2.561%48%
3.539%29%
4.522%14%
Each team on its own
Nijmegenwe expect 1.8, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
For Sittardwe expect 1.4, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Nijmegen8 matches in a row with BTTS at homeoverall: 2Went on 55%League 69%Model 66%Record 17
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nijmegen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- For Sittard: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Nijmegen: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- For Sittard: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | For Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nijmegen vs For Sittard?
Nijmegen are the favourites. Chances: Nijmegen win 61%, draw 20%, For Sittard win 19%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Nijmegen vs For Sittard?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Nijmegen 2.4, For Sittard 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Nijmegen vs For Sittard?
The chance that both teams score is 66%.
When is Nijmegen vs For Sittard?
The Eredivisie match kicks off 18 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).