EredivisieMatchday 7

Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Referee:
Martijn Vos

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost71%

over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (64% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won71%

    under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (76% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost50%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (42% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNijmegen164042%47%Draw24%28%Go Ahead Eagles159334%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%67%O2.571%69%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Nijmegen2:1Go Ahead EaglesW
  2. Go Ahead Eagles1:1NijmegenD
  3. Nijmegen2:3Go Ahead EaglesL
  4. Go Ahead Eagles5:0NijmegenL
  5. Nijmegen1:2Go Ahead EaglesL
Nijmegen's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4over 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.2under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 76% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeM. Vos+0.9 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.7total 3.6Attack/defence2.2 : 1.4total 3.6
Nijmegen : Go Ahead Eagles
Most likely scores
Market2-18%1-19%1-27%2-27%3-15%2-0—1-0—Attack/defence2-19%1-19%1-2—2-26%3-17%2-07%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-18%2-19%1-11-19%1-19%1-21-27%1-2—2-22-27%2-26%3-13-15%3-17%2-02-0—2-07%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%87%87%
12 – no draw76%79%79%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes71%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals50%48%48%
Under 3.5 goals50%52%52%
1 – Nijmegen win42%56% · Elo 47%56%· Elo 47%
2 – Go Ahead Eagles win34%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
Under 2.5 goals29%31%31%
Both teams to score: no29%33%33%
X – draw24%21% · Elo 28%21%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals11%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Nijmegen attack vs Go Ahead Eagles defenceattack1572defence1446+126 pts to the attack
Go Ahead Eagles attack vs Nijmegen defenceattack1520defence1516+4 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Go Ahead Eagles concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Go Ahead Eagles matches average only 2.0 cards (league 3.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Nijmegen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Nijmegen: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Nijmegen: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Go Ahead Eagles: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Go Ahead Eagles825119:1711
11Nijmegen823313:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles (half time 1-1).

Did the Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.