Liga PortugalMatchday 6
Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
- Referee:
- Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost58%
under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Lost71%
our numbers: 4.4 cards against a league average of 5.1; 4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost31%
under 1.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%48%O2.542%41%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arouca2:2Santa ClaraD
- Santa Clara0:0AroucaD
- Santa Clara2:0AroucaL
- Arouca1:0Santa ClaraW
- Arouca1:0Santa ClaraW
Arouca's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 5.1under 5.5: 71%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 8
RefereeV. Jorge Fernandes Ferreira−1.5 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Arouca : Santa ClaraMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-110%0-010%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-110%0-010%2-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-010%1-012%0-10-110%0-110%0-00-010%0-010%2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%61% | 61% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 58%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%41% | 41% |
| 1 – Arouca win | 37%39% · Elo 44% | 39%· Elo 44% |
| 2 – Santa Clara win | 33%32% · Elo 28% | 32%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 30%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Arouca attack vs Santa Clara defenceattack1484defence1549−65 pts to the attack
Santa Clara attack vs Arouca defenceattack1443defence1460−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Arouca: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Santa Clara: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Arouca: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Santa Clara: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arouca vs Santa Clara?
Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara (half time 0-2).
Did the Arouca vs Santa Clara tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.