Liga PortugalMatchday 7
Nacional 0-4 Famalicao: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio da Madeira, Funchal
- Referee:
- Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost63%
3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.5 in the visitors', league average 5.0
Other tips
- Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost57%
under 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (45% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost46%
under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 6 (44% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%47%O2.543%41%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Famalicao1:0NacionalL
- Nacional0:1FamalicaoL
- Nacional2:1FamalicaoW
- Famalicao0:0NacionalD
- Famalicao3:0NacionalL
Nacional's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.0under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.lost · ended 6
RefereeG. Fernandes Correia+0.2 cards vs average29 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.5total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.3
Nacional : FamalicaoMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-112%1-0—0-010%0-210%1-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-112%1-011%0-010%0-2—1-28%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%0-10-112%0-112%1-01-0—1-011%0-00-010%0-010%0-20-210%0-2—1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%80% | 80% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 77%67% | 67% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%53% | 53% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 51%62% | 62% |
| 2 – Famalicao win | 49%38% · Elo 46% | 38%· Elo 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 28%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Nacional win | 23%33% · Elo 26% | 33%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Nacional attack vs Famalicao defenceattack1444defence1577−133 pts to the attack
Famalicao attack vs Nacional defenceattack1466defence1435+31 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nacional: 4 defeats in a row
- Nacional: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Famalicao: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nacional vs Famalicao?
Nacional 0-4 Famalicao (half time 0-3).
Did the Nacional vs Famalicao tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.