Liga PortugalMatchday 6
Nacional 1-3 Alverca: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio da Madeira, Funchal
- Referee:
- Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%50%O2.547%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Nacional1:0AlvercaW
- Alverca1:0NacionalL
- Alverca2:1NacionalL
- Nacional3:0AlvercaW
Nacional's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 2
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Andre Monteiro Fonseca−0.4 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Nacional : AlvercaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-09%2-1—2-0—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%0-09%2-19%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-19%0-19%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-1—2-19%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-28%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%56% | 56% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%50% | 50% |
| 2 – Alverca win | 38%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Nacional win | 34%44% · Elo 44% | 44%· Elo 44% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Nacional attack vs Alverca defenceattack1450defence1441+9 pts to the attack
Alverca attack vs Nacional defenceattack1425defence1442−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Alverca: no win in 8 matches
- Nacional: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Alverca: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nacional vs Alverca?
Nacional 1-3 Alverca (half time 0-3).