Liga PortugalMatchday 2
Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%48%O2.545%44%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gil Vicente2:1Sp BragaL
- Sp Braga0:1Gil VicenteL
- Sp Braga2:0Gil VicenteW
- Gil Vicente0:0Sp BragaD
- Sp Braga2:1Gil VicenteW
Sp Braga's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.3under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.8under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.8total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.5
Sp Braga : Gil VicenteMost likely scores
Market1-014%1-112%2-012%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-010%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-112%1-113%2-02-012%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%70% | 70% |
| 1 – Sp Braga win | 60%50% · Elo 66% | 50%· Elo 66% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%48% | 48% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%50% | 50% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 21% | 27%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Gil Vicente win | 16%23% · Elo 13% | 23%· Elo 13% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Braga attack vs Gil Vicente defenceattack1583defence1539+44 pts to the attack
Gil Vicente attack vs Sp Braga defenceattack1471defence1574−103 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.554%59%
8.541%46%
9.529%31%
10.519%21%
Each team on its own
Sp Bragawe expect 3.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Gil Vicentewe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 24.1 in this match, 25.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.545%56%
25.539%50%
26.533%42%
27.527%36%
Each team on its own
Sp Bragawe expect 11.8, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 41%
Gil Vicentewe expect 12.1, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%78%
2.549%51%
3.528%31%
4.513%18%
Each team on its own
Sp Bragawe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Gil Vicentewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Gil Vicente matches average only 3.6 cards (league 5.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Gil Vicente score only 0.7 goals per game
- Sp Braga: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Gil Vicente: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente?
Sp Braga are the favourites. Chances: Sp Braga win 60%, draw 24%, Gil Vicente win 16%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Sp Braga 1.7, Gil Vicente 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente?
The chance that both teams score is 44%.
When is Sp Braga vs Gil Vicente?
The Liga Portugal match kicks off 19 October 2026, 20:15 (UK time).